After researching and researching mock drafts from just about any source I could find, I have accumulated 63 first round mock drafts and here are the final Draft Slot Average (DSA) Player Rankings:
1) Sam Bradford 1.65
2) Ndamukong Suh 2.19
3) Gerald McCoy 3.17
4) Russell Okung 3.86
5) Eric Berry 5.81
6) Bryan Bulaga 8.44
7) Trent Williams 9.76
8) Jimmy Clausen 10.06
9) Joe Haden 11.63
10) Rolando McClain 12.41
11) C.J. Spiller 12.94
12) Derrick Morgan 13.65
13) Dez Bryant 14.40
14) Dan Williams 15.19
15) Earl Thomas 16.11
16) Jason Pierre-Paul 16.40
17) Anthony Davis 17.98
18) Bruce Campbell 18.67
19) Brandon Graham 20.51
20) Mike Iupati 21.44
21) Sergio Kindle 22.24
22) Kyle Wilson 23.05
23) Taylor Mays 23.73
24) Jermaine Gresham 25.89
25) Maurkice Pouncey 26.05
26) Sean Weatherspoon 26.79
27) Jaerd Odrick 27.76
28) Ryan Mathews 28.33
29) Everson Griffen 28.54
30) Brian Price 29.84
31) Carlos Dunlap 30.17
32) Charles Brown 30.32
Jimmy Clausen had the biggest fall in the top of the DSA Rankings, going from 6th to 8th. Bryan Bulaga and Trent Williams both moved up a slot within the top ten. Ryan Mathews was the biggest gainer, going from 31st to 28th. Jared Odrick moved up two slots, going to 27th. Carlos Dunlap was the biggest loser in the final rankings, falling three spots to #31. I can't wait to see just how well the so-called experts are on average. As I have stated previously, I will be posting the final DSA's on the NFL.com Predict the Pick Challenge. I'll be joining the 2010 NFL Mock Draft Group, along with my own Mock Draft picks (listed as Sycamore88) If you have an entry on NFL.com good luck to you. Three days until the draft. I can't wait.
My views, opinions and research covering news, information, and commentary for the months leading up to the NFL Draft, along with post-draft perspectives on the winners and losers.
Showing posts with label DSA's. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DSA's. Show all posts
Monday, April 19, 2010
Monday, March 22, 2010
Draft Slot Average (DSA) Player Rankings
With all of the Mock Drafts out there (including my own), it is time to reveal the very first TMG DraftZone Draft Slot Average, otherwise know as the DSA's. The first compilation had 19 players listed on all the mock drafts. That list is now down to just 16. So if you take what the draft experts are saying there are just 16 sure-fire 1st Round picks. That and a buck gets you a chicken sandwich at McDonald's.
But looking at the DSA's I can see the draft falling in line with very little variation. The top of the draft depends on whether or not the Rams take Sam Bradford, and the order of offensive tackles depends on the Raiders taking Bruce Campbell, Anthony Davis or Trent Williams with the 8th overall selection. The DSA's will get updated as more mock draft information rolls into the TMG DraftZone. So here is the player rankings and average draft slot as foretold by the DSA's:
1) Ndamukong Suh 1.71
2) Gerald McCoy 2.71
3) Sam Bradford 3.24
4) Russell Okung 4.12
5) Eric Berry 5.12
6) Jimmy Clausen 7.18
7) Joe Haden 9.42
8) Dez Bryant 11.53
9) Derrick Morgan 11.59
10) Bryan Bulaga 11.71
11) Rolando McClain 11.82
12) Trent Williams 13.18
13) Anthony Davis 14.71
14) C.J. Spiller 14.94
15) Bruce Campbell 17.12
16) Earl Thomas 17.82
17) Jason Pierre-Paul 18.00
18) Dan Williams 18.18
19) Sergio Kindle 20.88
20) Taylor Mays 22.24
21) Mike Iupati 22.76
22) Brandon Graham 23.94
23) Carlos Dunlap 24.88
24) Brian Price 25.88
25) Kyle Wilson 26.18
26) Everson Griffen 26.41
27) Jermaine Gresham 26.47
28) Jerry Hughes 27.35
29) Maurkice Pouncey 27.94
30) Golden Tate 28.41
31) Sean Weatherspoon 29.71
32) Ryan Mathews 30.35
33) Jared Odrick 30.88
34) Arrelious Benn 31.00
35) Charles Brown 31.82
36) Patrick Robinson 32.59
37) Devin McCourtey 33.24
The DSA's are computed using the average position of players in various mock drafts. If a player is not listed in the first round they are assigned a draft selection of 35, the 3rd pick of the 2nd Round. The way I see it, if a player is deemed good enough to be a first round selection, then if they are not listed in the first round they would probably go in the top of the 2nd Round. If that selection is a top 5 of the 2nd Round, the average of the top 5 picks is the 35th selection. As deep as the 2010 Draft is, it would not be surprising that any player seen as a first rounder could easily fall to Round 2. In 2009, Rey Maualuga was looked at as a mid first rounder, with many mock drafts having him going as high as #12. He fell all the way to #38, and played like a first round selection. It will be interesting to see who will be the player to fall out of Round 1 who goes out and proves everyone wrong.
But looking at the DSA's I can see the draft falling in line with very little variation. The top of the draft depends on whether or not the Rams take Sam Bradford, and the order of offensive tackles depends on the Raiders taking Bruce Campbell, Anthony Davis or Trent Williams with the 8th overall selection. The DSA's will get updated as more mock draft information rolls into the TMG DraftZone. So here is the player rankings and average draft slot as foretold by the DSA's:
1) Ndamukong Suh 1.71
2) Gerald McCoy 2.71
3) Sam Bradford 3.24
4) Russell Okung 4.12
5) Eric Berry 5.12
6) Jimmy Clausen 7.18
7) Joe Haden 9.42
8) Dez Bryant 11.53
9) Derrick Morgan 11.59
10) Bryan Bulaga 11.71
11) Rolando McClain 11.82
12) Trent Williams 13.18
13) Anthony Davis 14.71
14) C.J. Spiller 14.94
15) Bruce Campbell 17.12
16) Earl Thomas 17.82
17) Jason Pierre-Paul 18.00
18) Dan Williams 18.18
19) Sergio Kindle 20.88
20) Taylor Mays 22.24
21) Mike Iupati 22.76
22) Brandon Graham 23.94
23) Carlos Dunlap 24.88
24) Brian Price 25.88
25) Kyle Wilson 26.18
26) Everson Griffen 26.41
27) Jermaine Gresham 26.47
28) Jerry Hughes 27.35
29) Maurkice Pouncey 27.94
30) Golden Tate 28.41
31) Sean Weatherspoon 29.71
32) Ryan Mathews 30.35
33) Jared Odrick 30.88
34) Arrelious Benn 31.00
35) Charles Brown 31.82
36) Patrick Robinson 32.59
37) Devin McCourtey 33.24
The DSA's are computed using the average position of players in various mock drafts. If a player is not listed in the first round they are assigned a draft selection of 35, the 3rd pick of the 2nd Round. The way I see it, if a player is deemed good enough to be a first round selection, then if they are not listed in the first round they would probably go in the top of the 2nd Round. If that selection is a top 5 of the 2nd Round, the average of the top 5 picks is the 35th selection. As deep as the 2010 Draft is, it would not be surprising that any player seen as a first rounder could easily fall to Round 2. In 2009, Rey Maualuga was looked at as a mid first rounder, with many mock drafts having him going as high as #12. He fell all the way to #38, and played like a first round selection. It will be interesting to see who will be the player to fall out of Round 1 who goes out and proves everyone wrong.
Labels:
2010 NFL Mock Draft,
Draft Slot Average,
DSA's
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