Sunday, May 15, 2011

Defining the Draft Class Part 2

My last entry took a look at the quarterbacks selected in Round 1 of the 2011 NFL Draft. Now I'll focus on the signal callers picked in Round 2 and 3. Other quarterbacks were selected in later rounds, but the three from Day 2 were seen as potential first round picks, and should have an impact from the start in one way or another.

The Cincinnati Bengals held the third pick of Round 2, and were in desperate need of a quarterback. Desperate because Carson Palmer has come out and said 'trade me or I retire.' Threats like this fall on deaf ears to Mike Brown, the Bengals owner. Cincinnati went into the draft with Jordan Palmer and Dan Lefevour as their quarterbacks, who have a combined 15 pass attempts in the NFL. They stuck to their guns and picked A.J. Green in Round 1, and though they could have had Blaine Gabbert, the Bengals got the best offensive player in the draft. What Cincinnati didn't do was panic and trade up into the bottom of the first round. The player they were looking at was Andy Dalton, and he was there with the 35th overall pick. Dalton rated out good on the measureables, and very good with the intangibles. He is the leader the Bengals need, and a proven winner. The Bengals have had way too much drama than they have had success, and the additions of Green and Dalton will go a long way to reshaping the franchise.

San Francisco traded up in Round 2, and were able to pick the quarterback they had targeted in Colin Kaepernick from Nevada. Kaepernick has the athletic ability to be a spectacular quarterback in the NFL, and he also has plenty working against him. He worked in the Pistol offense at Nevada, taking snaps out of the shotgun and relying on his legs as well as his arm. It could be argued that Kaepernick is the second rounds' version of Cam Newton. Kaepernick entered the draft with perhaps the best arm other than Ryan Mallett, but he will need polishing as he enters the NFL. He will get a chance in San Francisco. Alex Smith is a free agent, and though the 49ers have shown an interest in re-signing the former #1 Overall selection from 2005, it looks like Smith will finish his career as a backup. Kaepernick is in a situation where he gets to work with a new coach in Jim Harbaugh, and the success of each is going to be tied together.

Ryan Mallett entered the draft with possibly the best NFL potential and the most red flags. He could throw the ball half way to tomorrow, but his bed side manner left a lot to be desired. Mallett was projected in some mock drafts as high as #12, but his fall through the ranks was quite a surprise. What was even more surprising was who did select him. The New England Patriots do not need a quarterback. Tom Brady is #1 or #2 in the game, depending on who you talk to. He does not go any further down the list. If the Patriots are in need of insurance, they already have Brian Hoyer on the roster. The drafting of Mallett could be a case of Matt Cassel revisited. Cassel got his chance when Brady went down with a knee injury in 2008. At the end of the season he was traded to Kansas City for a second round pick. Not a bad deal considering that Cassel was originally a seventh round pick. Could it be that New England, who have been hoarding draft picks like they are going out of style lately, have it in mind to hold on to Mallett with the intention of getting a higher pick for him. It would not surprise me. It would also not surprise me that a team in need of a quarterback would trade a first rounder for Mallett. Think about it. Bill Belichick keeps him out of trouble, plays him enough to show off his skills, and finds a trading partner. One thing is certain. Tom Brady isn't going to the bench any time soon. Which keeps Mallett on the bench. For now.

The seven quarterbacks selected in the first three rounds of the NFL Draft will go a long way to determining whether this draft is a boom or a bust. Just take a look at the first round of the 2005 NFL Draft. As bad as it turned out, it's better now that Aaron Rodgers has a Super Bowl win. The quarterback position is that important.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Defining the Draft Class Part 1

Every NFL Draft class seems to be defined by the performance of the quarterbacks taken at the top of the draft. The 2011 Draft should not be any different. There were seven quarterbacks selected in the first three rounds. Each of them will get a chance to shine, either right away or down the road. How they play will determine whether this years class was stellar or lackluster.

There were four quarterbacks taken in the first twelve picks. It could be said that each one was picked out of a combination of need, panic and desperation. Cam Newton went #1 Overall to Carolina. The Panthers have two quarterbacks on their roster that they picked just last year in Jimmy Clausen and Tony Pike. Matt Moore started the season as the starter, but ineffective play and injuries put him on the sideline. Clausen moved into the starting role and fared little better. Can Newton turn the tide in Carolina? If he has to play behind the same line as Moore and Clausen it will be difficult. But it could be said that Newton was taken first as the Panthers need a new face for the franchise. He will sell tickets and jerseys. He will make a 2-14 team the talk of the league. But he will need a better supporting cast and a transitional period to adapt to the NFL. One thing that not many have been talking about in regards to Newton. He is a winner. He won the JUCO National Title and NCAA Title the last two seasons. How will he handle losing? Will it be his fault or someone else's? If he starts to throw his teammates under the bus he will find a lonely locker room in Carolina.

Blaine Gabbert was seen by many as the best of the quarterback class going into the draft. But one had to wonder where he would land when Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona, and San Francisco all passed on the Missouri signal caller. I'm not sure what was more surprising: who passed on Gabbert, or who selected him. Jacksonville traded up to the #10 spot to take Gabbert. But with David Garrard under contract for a few more years, Gabbert will get a chance to sit and learn. Unless the Jaguars decide that they have seen enough average play out of Garrard and move Gabbert into the lineup. What I can envision is a similar scenario that Phillip Rivers faced in San Diego. When he was selected in 2004, Drew Brees was not putting up big numbers. But with the hot rookie commodity on the bench, Brees took his game and the Chargers to new heights. Rivers sat for two seasons. It did help his case that Brees suffered what was seen as a major shoulder injury and was a free agent. Rivers got the call in San Diego. Brees moved on to New Orleans. Now they are two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. If Garrard picks his game up it may be a while before Gabbert sees the light of day. But after two seasons Jacksonville may have to decide: the proven veteran, or the untested youngster. When Gabbert gets his chance will ultimately be decided by Garrard.

The other two quarterbacks selected in Round One were Jake Locker, taken #8 by Tennessee, and Christian Ponder, selected #12 by Minnesota. There are reaches in the first round of any draft, but not many brought about gasps of disbelief as these two. Locker has the athletic ability. Ponder is well suited to adjust to the pro game. But Locker has issues with accuracy, and Ponder has injury concerns. If they had been selected in either the late first or early second round there wouldn't be much talk about the picks. But both are going to teams with serious quarterback issues. Tennessee is parting ways with Vince Young. Minnesota has seen the last of Brett Favre and Tavaris Jackson. Locker and Ponder will be starting from Day One. Their teams drafted them too high not too and, for the most part, they don't have a better option. But both quarterbacks have one thing in common. They are moving into a backfield that has a stellar running back. Chris Johnson in Tennessee. Adrian Peterson in Minnesota. Without having to carry the full burden of the offense, it will make it easier to succeed. But not much. Locker and Ponder are going to find out how brightly the spotlight shines on the quarterback position. it's like no other position in all of sports. It defines the sport and the teams. And it will define the 2011 NFL Draft Class.

Monday, May 9, 2011

NFC West Draft Grades: Seattle Seahawks

In his first season as head coach, Pete Carroll led the Seattle Seahawks to the NFC West title. Some saw this as a hollow championship, as the Seahawks became the first team to make the playoffs with a losing record. But a win against the defending Super Bowl champions New Orleans Saints led to some vindication for their regular season record.

A strong draft in 2010 looks to be a nucleus for the Seahawks to build upon, but the 2011 Draft looks to be filled with players who may have been reaches at many positions.

The 25th Overall selection brought James Carpenter, an offensive tackle out of Alabama. Carpenter plays on the right side, and with last years #1 pick Russell Okung on the left, they should form bookends for the line for a long time. But Carpenter was a player the Seahawks could have gotten later in the draft, and the possibility of trading down could have brought additional picks.

Seattle did not have a second round pick, and in Round 3 selected John Moffitt, a guard from Wisconsin. Moffitt will add depth to the offensive line, and could start right away. Fourth round picks K.J. Wright and Kris Durham should be able to find a place on special teams right away, but Seattle could have gotten both players later in the draft.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Mark Legree, a defensive back from Appalachian State selected in Round 5. Legree is a ball hawking safety, and should be a contributor on special teams for the Seahawks.

Draft Grade: C

NFC West Draft Grades: St. Louis Rams

Years of disappointing play on the field came to a head at the end of the 2009 season when the St. Louis Rams finished with a 1-15 record. The worst record in the league brought the #1 Overall selection of 2010 Draft, and that pick was Sam Bradford. Bradford entered the season with question marks about his health and ability to transition from a spread offense to the pro game. Bradford answered all the doubts with a Rookie of the Year season, and led the Rams to a 7-9 season. A loss in the season finale kept the Rams out of the playoffs, and St. Louis looks to build upon that improvement in 2011.

The need to find weapons for Bradford was a pressing concern, but when Robert Quinn fell to the 14th Overall selection, it was not a pick the Rams would pass up. Quinn may have been a top 3 pick in 2010 if he had come out out early, but he stayed at North Carolina, only to miss the season due to NCAA violations. Concerns over a brain tumor that was diagnosed four years ago scared off some teams, but Quinn has gotten the go ahead to play, and now he gets to line up opposite Chris Long to for a dynamic pass rushing duo for St. Louis.

Rounds 2 and 3 brought Bradford the help he needs to propel the offense along. Tight end Lance Kendricks is a big target with sure hands, and a good enough blocker to help in the run game for Steven Jackson. Austin Pettis is a wide receiver with great size and speed to compliment Donnie Avery, who missed most of the 2010 season due to injuries.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Greg Salas, a wide receiver from Hawaii selected in Round 4. He should line up in the slot, and has one of the best set of hands of any receiver entering the draft.

Draft Grade: B+

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NFC West Draft Grades: San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers entered the 2010 NFL Season as the favorite to win the NFC West, but a slow start led to a mid season coaching change, and the result was a 6-10 record. But in the worst division in the NFL, the 49ers missed out of a three way tie for the division title by just one game.

Going into the 2011 NFL Draft, the 49ers were looking to get help on both sides of the ball, with interest at pass rusher and quarterback. They got both. The first round brought Aldon Smith, the talented defensive end from Missouri. He is a better fit for outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense, but with some additional strength he could transition to a 4-3 end. But wherever he plays, Smith looks to get to the quarterback with great regularity.

The quarterback situation in San Francisco is as unsettled as any in the league. Alex Smith never did pan out, and though the 49ers may bring back the former #1 Overall selection, he has the makings to be a career backup. So in Round 2, the 49ers traded up to select Colin Kaepernick from Nevada. Kaepernick has all the talent to be a top NFL quarterback. Strong arm, quick release, and elusive runner. But coming from The Pistol system that Nevada used, it will take time for Kaepernick to transition to the pro game.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Daniel Kilgore, an offensive lineman from Appalachian State. Kilgore was dominant on the FCS level, and should be able to make the transition to guard in the pros. The 2010 Draft brought the 49ers Mike Iupati and Anthony Davis, and with Kilgore the offensive line looks to be a strength for San Francisco in the years ahead.

Draft Grade: B

NFC West Draft Grades: Arizona Cardinals

The Kurt Warner era came to an end with a playoff loss against the Saints at the end of the 2009 season, and the uncertainty as to who would be the quarterback for 2010 led to a disappointing 5-11 record. Concerns as to who would be the leader on the field still linger, but the 5th Overall pick of the NFL Draft was one the Cardinals could not pass up.

Patrick Peterson was seen by many as the best player in the draft. A shutdown cornerback with exceptional size and speed, and one of the premier punt returners in the college game. Peterson has drawn comparisons to Rod Woodson, who was a dominant corner before moving to safety. Peterson could very easily follow the same career path, and if he turns out to be half as good as Woodson then the Cardinals would have picked one of the best players in the draft.

The offense got a boost in Round 2 with the selection of Ryan Williams, a running back from Virginia Tech. Williams is a strong back with a quick burst who can get through the line and make plays in the open field. But injuries limited his play in 2010, or he would have surely been a first round pick. But the position that did not get addressed was quarterback. The Cardinals go into 2011 with the same quarterback rotation that they finished last season with: Derek Anderson, Max Hall and John Skelton. Arizona seems content to proceed with these three signal callers, and it will be seen if not drafting Ryan Mallett in Round 3 will come back to haunt them in the long run.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Sam Acho, a defensive end from Texas selected in Round 4. Acho reminds many of his former Longhorn teammate Brian Orakpo, and there was no prospect who could measure up to Acho off the field and in the classroom.

Draft Grade: B+

Sunday, May 8, 2011

AFC West Draft Grades: San Diego Chargers

The San Diego Chargers found themselves in unfamiliar territory at the end of the 2010 season. Out of the playoffs. The Chargers had a statistical anomaly in the fact that they led the league in both offense and defense, but only finished 8-8.

The defense got help in the first two rounds of the 2011 Draft. Corey Liuget, a defensive tackle fro Illinois, was the pick in Round 1. Liuget is strong against the run and quick to penetrate into the backfield. He looks to be an anchor at the center of the defense for San Diego for years.

The second round got help for the secondary and linebacking corps with the selection of Marcus Gilchrist, a safety out of Clemson, and Jonas Mouton, an outside linebacker from Michigan. Both players can defend against the pass and run, and should be a help immediately for a special teams unit that was the cause of so much heartache in San Diego last season.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Jordan Todman, a running back out of Connecticut selected in Round 6. Todman is a versatile runner/receiver, who fits in the mold of Darren Sproles, who has been a valuable asset to the Chargers offense.

Draft Grade: B

AFC West Draft Grades: Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders had their best season since appearing in the Super Bowl after the 2002 season, and a good part of that success was a strong draft class that was able to make an impact right away. It was a draft that went against the grain of what the Raiders had been doing on draft day, but in 2011 they went back to their old ways.

The Raiders were the only team not to have a first round selection because of the trade to acquire Richard Seymour from New England. With their first pick coming in Round 2, the Raiders selected Stefan Wisniewski, a center out of Penn State. Wisniewski can play center or guard, and he will be looked upon to anchor the line for quarterback Jason Campbell and running back Darren McFadden.

The rest of the draft was typical Raiders-how much speed can we get. DeMarcus Van Dyke and Taiwan Jones were the fastest players at their positions in the draft, but Van Dyke was a reach for the third round and Jones is an undersized third down back. They seemed to be selected for their speed only, and it will be seen if they can contribute more than what Darrius Heyward-Bey has so far for the Silver and Black.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be David Ausberry, a wide receiver out of USC. Ausberry is a big target, and he can find a place on the Raiders as he can catch the ball, which many Raiders speed receivers have had a bit of trouble doing lately.

Draft Grade: C-

AFC West Draft Grades: Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs were one of the big surprises of the 2010 NFL season. They started fast and wound up winning the AFC West with a 10-6 record. Their season came to an end with a loss to Baltimore in the playoffs, and the Chiefs are looking to build upon their successes going into 2011.


The Chiefs had a very strong draft in 2010, and followed up with another this year. In Round 1, they were able to add a playmaking receiver to team with Dwayne Bowe with the addition of Jonathon Baldwin from Pittsburgh. He is a tall target and very athletic for his size, and if he shows a work ethic and professionalism that Todd Haley has brought to Kansas City then quarterback Matt Cassell will have another dangerous target on the outside which will help to open up the running game for Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones.

The offensive line got some much needed help in Round 2 with the selection of Rodney Hudson, a center out of Florida State. Hudson can play either guard and center, and will help to open holes for the Chiefs ground game. The third round brought depth to the defensive line in Allen Bailey from Miami. Bailey can play either tackle or end, and can play the positions in both a 3-4 and 4-3 defense.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Jalil Brown, a defensive back from Colorado picked in Round 4. Brown played in the shadow of Jimmy Smith at Colorado, but has the ability to be a contributing nickel back and eventually a starter down the road.

Draft Grade: A

AFC West Draft Grades: Denver Broncos

The Josh McDaniels era in Denver got off to an incredible start, then came crashing down just as fast. After winning his first six games in 2009, McDaniels was fired near the end of a 4-12 season, which landed the Broncos in the second slot of the 2011 NFL Draft.

The Broncos offense was as potent as ever, but the defense was terrible. It did not help that Elvis Dumervil, who recorded 17 sacks in 2009, was sidelined the entire season due to injury. Dumervil is expected to return, and with the second overall selection in the draft Denver added the best pass rusher on the board in Von Miller, the outside linebacker from Texas A&M. Miller was rated as one of the three best prospects in the draft, and he will be a three down player who can defend against the run as well as get after the quarterback. With Miller coming from one side and Dumervil the other, the Broncos will have a formidable pass rush for new head coach John Fox.

The pass defense got help in Round 2 with the selection of Rahim Moore, a safety from UCLA. Moore was the top rated safety in the draft, and is an instinctive playmaker with a knack for getting to the ball. He will team with fourth round pick Quinton Carter to for a safety combo in Denver for many years.

The offensive line got an upgrade with the selection of Orlando Franklin, a tackle out of Miami. Ryan Clady has the left side anchored, and Franklin will work the right to protect either Kyle Orton or Tim Tebow, whoever winds up starting for Denver in 2011.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Virgil Green, a tight end selected in Round 7 out of Nevada. Green fought injuries throughout his career, but he is a talented receiver who will be a sure handed option for the Broncos offense.

Draft Grade: B+

Saturday, May 7, 2011

NFC South Draft Grades: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were one of the most surprising teams in the NFL during the 2010 season. They improved by seven victories and nearly made the playoffs, with only a late season loss at home against Detroit keeping them out. Tampa Bay went into the draft looking for the pieces to get them into the playoffs this season.

In 2010, the Bucs got the interior of their defensive line with the selection of Gerald McCoy in Round 1 and Brian Price in Round 2. This year, they got the ends with Adrian Clayborn being taken in the first round, and Da'Quan Bowers falling all the way to them with the 51st overall selection in the bottom half of the second round. But there are health concerns everywhere. McCoy tore a biceps last season, and Price suffered a pelvic fracture. The injury concerns with Bowers and his knee are well chronicled. It looks as if Clayborn, with Erb's Palsy in his right shoulder and arm, looks to be the rick of the defense. If the four young stars can stay healthy and perform to their expectations, the Bucs will have one of the best young defensive lines the league has seen in a long time.

The defense also got help later in the draft with the selection of Mason Foster in Round 3 and Ahmad Black in round 5. Foster brings a high football IQ along with playmaking ability to a young defense, and Black, though he is undersized for safety, is another sure tackler and has excellent coverage skills.

A late round sleeper looks to be Luke Stocker, a tight end out of Tennessee selected in Round 4. Stocker is a big target who can line up in tight or out wide, and has great hands and athletic ability. Kellen Winslow has battled injuries throughout his career, and Stocker gives Josh Freeman yet another target for the Bucs offense.

Draft Grade: B+

NFC South Draft Grades: New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints entered the 2010 NFL Season as the defending Super Bowl Champions, and even though they posted a 12-4 record, a string of key injuries led to a wild card berth, then a surprising loss at Seattle in the playoffs. The Saints went into the draft with intentions of getting back to the Super Bowl, and they had one of the best drafts of any team in the NFL.

The defense got an early gift when Cameron Jordan fell all the way to the Saints and the 24th overall selection. Jordan is an athletic defensive end, and many saw him going in the first third of Round 1. Then the Saints made a trade with New England to acquire a second pick in the first round, and hit again with Mark Ingram, the running back from Alabama who won the Heisman Trophy in 2009. Injuries decimated the Saints backfield, and though Ingram suffered his own injury last season, he looks to be the long term answer behind Drew Brees in the backfield.

New Orleans had two picks in Round 3, and the defense got even more help. Martez Wilson was one of the highest rated middle linebackers going into the draft. Fast, athletic, and a sure tackler, Wilson should be able to find ample playing time right away. Later in Round 3, the Saints selected Johnny Patrick, a cornerback out of Louisville. Patrick has all the skills needed to succeed at corner, and should also be able to find a spot in a defensive secondary that is in need of a playmaker.

A late round sleeper looks to be Greg Romeus, a defensive end from Pittsburgh selected in Round 7. Romeus was injured much of 2010, but many saw him with talent to go on Day 2 of the draft. If he can stay healthy, Romeus should be a valuable contributor for the Saints.

Draft Grade: A

NFC South Draft Grades: Carolina Panthers

The Carolina Panthers held the first overall selection of the 2011 NFL Draft, and to no surprise they picked Cam Newton, the Heisman Trophy winning quarterback out of Auburn. But even then, there was skepticism concerning the pick.

Newton has all the tools to be a top level quarterback in the NFL. He also has the liabilities that can hold him back. He has size, speed, arm strength and looks like he was chiseled by Michelangelo out of solid marble. But he comes to the pros out of a spread offense, where his accuracy was questionable at times and he was as dependent on his running as his passing to succeed. Running quarterbacks take a beating in the NFL, and with the holes in the Panthers line just how much will Newton be able to take.

The Panthers also have Jimmy Clausen at quarterback, and the second round pick from 2010, while he never did look comfortable on the field, didn't really get a chance either. He went into the season second on the depth chart behind Matt Moore. Which means he did not get the lion's share of reps during training camp or play with the first string in the preseason. It will be interesting to see who looks the best this coming season for the Panthers.

The Panthers did not have a pick in Round 2 due to a trade the previous draft, but they got help for the defense later in Round 3. Terrell McClain and Sione Fua are both defensive tackles and could have an opportunity to play right away.

A late round sleeper looks to be Lee Ziemba, an offensive tackle out of Auburn. Zeimba was a four year starter in college, and could move into the starting lineup as the Panthers line gave up 50 sacks in 2010.

Draft Grade: C

NFC South Draft Grades: Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons are coming off of a season where they finished with the best record in the NFC, but were blown out in the Divisional Playoff Round by Green Bay. The Falcons entered the 2011 NFL Draft with the 27th Overall Selection, but made the trade that shows they are going all in for the championship next season.

With Matt Ryan at the top of his game, Michael Turner in the backfield, Roddy White becoming one of the best wideouts in the game, and Tony Gonzalez on his way to the Hall of Fame, Atlanta traded five draft picks to Cleveland to move into the 6th slot and select Julio Jones, the playmaking wide receiver out of Alabama. Jones has the size, and ran the 40 in under 4.40 seconds at the NFL Scouting Combine with a fractured foot. The Falcons are hoping he is the missing piece on offense to get them over the top.

But the downside of the Jones trade was the loss of draft picks. But Atlanta got another weapon for it's offense in Round 5 with the selection of Jacquizz Rodgers out of Oregon State. Rodgers was the ultimate change of pace back going into the draft, and he will be the speedy and elusive playmaker out of the backfield that teams will have trouble gameplanning for down the road.

A late round sleeper looks to be Andrew Jackson, a guard out of Fresno State selected in the sixth round. Jackson provides depth to the offensive line and could emerge as a starter down the road.

Draft Grade: B

Friday, May 6, 2011

AFC South Draft Grades: Tennessee Titans

The Vince Young era has come to an end in Tennessee, and the Titans made the first truly surprising move of the draft with the selection of Jake Locker at #8 overall. There is no doubting Locker's athletic ability, but his accuracy leaves a lot to be desired. But he was the quarterback the Titans targeted, and they rolled the dice on the signal caller out of Washington.

Round Two brought a steal in Akeem Ayers, the linebacker from UCLA. Ayers was looked at being a mid to late first round pick by most draftniks, and to get him where they did was a boon for the Titans. Ayers should start right away at the outside linebacker position for Tennessee.

The third round brought Jurrell Casey, a defensive tackle from USC. Casey is a one gap penetrator who can work his way into the offensive backfield. He will need to bulk up to stop the run, but Tennessee has had a long line of quality defensive tackles and they should be able to develop his talent.

A late round sleeper looks to be Colin McCarthy, a middle linebacker from Miami. McCarthy is a physical, instinctive player who is versatile enough to play inside and outside.

Draft Grade: B+

AFC South Draft Grades: Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars had a shot at the AFC South title in 2010, but finished the season with three straight losses that led to an 8-8 record. The pass rush was one of the worst in the league, and with the multitude of defensive lineman who can get to the quarterback, the Jaguars had a chance to address that situation right away.

Jacksonville traded with Washington to move into the 10th overall slot, and with that pick the Jags picked the top rated quarterback of the draft in Blaine Gabbert. J.J. Watt and Nick Fairley were still on the board, and I'm sure many Jaguars fans are still scratching their heads. Yes, Gabbert has the potential to be a top quarterback, but Jacksonville has David Garrard under contract that was extended a couple years ago, and Gabbert does not look to move into the lineup right away. Will it pay off down the road? Most likely. Does trading up and giving away picks this year help the Jaguars in 2011? Not likely.

Trades left Jacksonville with only five picks in the 2011 Draft, and their second pick was in Round 3 with the selection of Will Rackley, a guard out of Lehigh. Rackley is a small school project, but he has the ability to develop into a quality lineman.

A late round sleeper looks to be Chris Prosinsik, a defensive back out of Wyoming selected in the 4th Round. Prosinski is a strong run support safety, and he should contribute on special teams right away.

Draft Grade: C-

AFC South Draft Grades: Indianapolis Colts

For many teams, a 10-6 season and division title would be a success. Not in Indianapolis. The Colts were coming off of an AFC Conference title, and a streak of seven straight seasons with 12 or more victories. But injuries caught up with the Colts, and even Peyton Manning couldn't get them past the Jets in the playoffs.

The Colts went into the draft looking to protect it's most valuable asset, and Manning now has two young lineman to protect him. Anthony Castonzo was perhaps the most pro ready tackle entering the draft, and Benjamin Ijalana is a mauler who will line up at guard. The two lineman give the Colts an infusion of youth, and should keep Manning upright and able to pick apart defenses for a long time.

The interior of the defensive line got help with the selection of Drake Nevis in the third round out of LSU. Nevis is an explosive penetrator who can get into the backfield, and with Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis on the outside, he gives the opponents offense another weapon to worry about on both runs and passes.

A late round sleeper looks to be Delone Carter, a running back out of Syracuse. Carter is a power back who should flourish running behind his fellow rookies up front, and the Colts running game has been a revolving door leading to the injured list with Joseph Addai, Donald Brown and Mike Hart. Carter could get his chance sooner rather than later.

Draft Grade: B+

AFC South Draft Grades: Houston Texans

The Houston Texans come off of a season where their offense was even more productive than ever, with the development of Arian Foster into the league rushing champion. Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson continued to shine, but once again the defense let them down, and the result was a 6-10 finish.

The defense was the focus going into the 2011 NFL Draft, and the Texans hit on all three levels. The first round brought J.J. Watt, the defensive end from Wisconsin. Watt has the size, speed, strength and motor to excel in Houston's new 3-4 scheme, and along with Mario Williams he should be an anchor on the defense for years.

Round 2 brought a pass rushing linebacker in Brooks Reed from Arizona. Reed is an outside speed rusher that many saw as a late first round pick. Reed should move into an outside linebacker position, and it looks as if Williams may line up on the opposite side. With one of the leagues premier pass rushers on the opposite side of the field, opportunities to rush the quarterback should present themselves for Reed.

The defensive secondary got help in Round 3 with the selection of Brandon Harris, a cornerback out of Miami. Harris may be a bit undersized by NFL standards, but he is a big hitter and tackler, and has the speed to cover down the field. Harris was seen as a 1st Round pick on many mock drafts, and the Texans got a steal in the third round.

Two late round sleepers look to be Rashad Carmichael and Shiloh Keo, defensive backs selected in rounds 4 and 5, respectively. The Texans secondary was one of the worst in the NFL, and along with Harris both players have a chance to rebuild the defensive backfield.

Draft Grade: B+

Thursday, May 5, 2011

NFC North Draft Grades: Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings were looking to build on the 2009 season when the made it an interception away from the Super Bowl. Then things got strange, weird and bad all at the same time.

Brett Favre finally had age catch up with him and his incredible consecutive games played streak came to an end at 297. Percy Harvin suffered from migraines all season, and Sidney Rice suffered a severe hip injury. Then the roof caved in. Literally. A snowstorm of epic proportions, even for Minnesota, caved in the roof of the Metrodome. The Vikings final two home games were played in Detroit and outside at the University of Minnesota.

Going into the draft, the Vikings starting quarterback who was actually under contract was Joe Webb. There was no doubt that Minnesota would draft a quarterback, but they got gasps from a lot of observers when they called the name of Christian Ponder at #12 overall. It may have been a case of the Vikings not being able to find a trading partner and panicking that the quarterback they wanted may not be there in Round 2. Ponder was seen as a reach, but he fits the offense that Offensive Coordinator Bill Musgrave is going to install, and with Adrian Peterson in the backfield the transition should be made easier.

In Round 2, many thought the Vikings would look to upgrade the offensive line, defensive line, or defensive secondary. The pick turned out to be Kyle Rudolph, the tight end out of Notre Dame. Rudolph was the top rated tight end in the draft, and he will eventually be the successor to Visanthe Shiancoe. In Round 4, the Vikings got help on the defensive line with the selection of Christian Ballard out of Iowa. Ballard saw his draft stock fall when word of a possible failed drug test at the NFL Combine started to make the rounds. Ballard has first round talent and should move into the lineup if he can stay out of trouble.

A late round sleeper looks to be Demarcus Love, an offensive lineman selected in Round 6 out of Arkansas. Love looks to move into the interior of the line and is seen as a developmental project but with the athletic upside to make the move.

Draft Grade: C+

NFC North Draft Grades: Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers made the NFC Playoffs as a 6th seed, and made it because of a loss by the Giants to Philadelphia on a punt return and by a Tampa Bay loss at home late in the season to Detroit. But once they got in, they showed just how well they played during the 2010 NFL season. They rode the hot hand of Aaron Rodgers and the aggressive defensive play of Clay Matthews all the way to a Super Bowl victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Packers have always been very good at the draft, and this year is no exception.

The first round brought Derek Sherrod, the offensive tackle from Mississippi State. Sherrod was seen by some as a mid first round pick, and now the Packers can pair him up with last years first round pick Bryan Bulaga to protect Rodgers for years to come.

Rounds 2 and 3 brought more playmakers for the offense. Randall Cobb is a versatile offensive weapon, who has played quarterback, running back, and wide receiver. Alex Green gives the backfield more depth after they were hit hard by injuries last season.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be D.J. Williams, a tight end out of Arkansas selected in Round 5. Williams was the John Mackey Award winner last season as the best collegiate tight end, and Jermichael Finley was injured for much of the stretch drive towards the Super Bowl.

Draft Grade: B+

NFC North Draft Grades: Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions have had very good drafts the previous two seasons, and this year was just as good. Selecting 13th, the Lions were hoping that Prince Amukamara would still be there so they could select the Nebraska star to shore up a porous defensive backfield. Amukamara was there, but so was a player they could not pass up.

Nick Fairley, seen by many as the unanimous #1 Overall selection when the Mock Draft season started, was on the board at #13. As much as Detroit wanted Amukamara, they could not pass on Fairley. They now have perhaps the best defensive tackle combination in the NFL, with Fairley lining up next to Pro Bowler Ndamukong Suh. Two athletic, disruptive tackles with a serious mean streak. There are centers and guards looking at their schedules next season to see if they are going to face this new dynamic duo. The Lions pass defense got better because they will be putting so much pressure up the middle that the quarterbacks will not have nearly as much time to get the ball away.

In Round 2, Detroit got two more playmakers for their ever improving offense. Titus Young is the quick wide receiver who should line up opposite Calvin Johnson, and later in the round brought Mikel Leshoure, the power running back from Illinois. Leshoure will bring the north-south between the tackles game that will compliment Jahvid Best and his quickness on the outside.

A late round sleeper looks to be Douglas Houge, a linebacker selected in Round 5 out of Syracuse. He will contribute on special teams and could move into the starting lineup down the road.

Draft Grade: A

NFC North Draft Grades: Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears made a significant leap in the second season of the Jay Cutler era, making it to the NFC Championship game before falling to the Green Bay Packers. The defense was as stout as ever, but the offense was lacking depth on the offensive line and big plays on the outside. One area was fixed, the other ignored.

After a failed trade with the Baltimore Ravens, the Bears were still able to select the player they wanted in Round 1 when they were picked Gabe Carimi, the offensive tackle out of Wisconsin. Many had Carimi rated at either the best or second best tackle, and he will step in right away to open holes for Matt Forte and protect Cutler, who has spent way too much time in his two seasons on his backside.

The second round brought Chicago Stephen Paea, the defensive tackle out of Oregon State. Paea set the record for bench press reps at the NFL Scouting Combine, and he should move into the line in place of Tommie Harris, who is unlikely to return. But the receiving corps is still woefully thin. Cutler has the talent to be a top flight quarterback, but his top target is still Devin Hester, who is a kick returner who started out at cornerback and was converted to wideout. The Bears may look to add a receiver in free agency, but there was talent on the outside to be found and they didn't use a single pick on the position.

A late round sleeper looks to be James Thomas, a linebacker out of West Virginia selected in Round 6. Thomas will be a fixture on special teams, but he is a very good fit for the Tampa-2 defense the Bears employ, and that could help him move into the starting lineup eventually.

Draft Grade: C+

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

AFC North Draft Grades: Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter the 2011 NFL Season as the reigning AFC Champions, but after the Green Bay Packers offense did a number on them in the Super Bowl, they were looking to upgrade and add depth to the defense.

The Steelers selection of Cameron Heyward will be a valuable addition to the defensive line. Heyward is a prototype 3-4 end, and his ability to rush the passer will help free up the Steelers vaunted linebacking corps get to the quarterback.

The selection of Marcus Gilbert will help shore up the offensive line, bu the may have been a bit of a reach in Round 2. The defensive secondary was an area of concern, but the Steelers didn't go for a defensive back until Round 3 with Curtis Brown out of Texas, and also again in Round 4 with the selection of Cortez Allen out of The Citadel. The Steelers went for depth in the secondary, and it will need to be seen if they may have been better served to go for the bigger impact player at that position.

A late round sleeper looks to be Keith Williams, an offensive lineman out of Nebraska selected in Round 6. Williams is seen as a project, but he is very athletic and has tremendous work ethic.

AFC North Draft Grades: Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns entered the 2011 NFL Draft with the sixth overall selection, but the package offered by the Atlanta Falcons was too tempting to pass up. They moved down to #27, then back up to #21, and wound up with two picks in rounds 2, 4 and 5 each.

In Round 1, the Browns selected Phil Taylor, and big defensive tackle out of Baylor. But Taylor is seen as a prototype 3-4 nose tackle, and Cleveland is switching to a base 4-3 defense. But Taylor is the run stuffer the Browns need to plug up the middle against the rest of the AFC North.

In Round 2, Cleveland selected Jabaal Sheard, a pass rushing end out of Pittsburgh, and Greg Little, a wide receiver out of North Carolina. Sheard should be able to step in right away in the 4-3 defense, and Little provides Colt McCoy with a huge target on the outside.

In Round 4, Cleveland landed Jordan Cameron, the athletic tight end from USC, after first apparently calling Cameron Jordan to inform them they had selected him with their pick. Jordan was nice enough to inform the Browns that he has already been selected by New Orleans, and that they needed to contact Jordan Cameron instead.

Also in the fourth round, the Browns got the ultimate throwback player of the draft in Owen Marecic, who played fullback and linebacker at Stanford. Marecic looks to be a full time back blocking for Peyton Hillis from now on.

A late round sleeper pick looks to be Jason Pinkston, an offensive tackle out of Pittsburgh. Pinkston is a straight ahead run blocker, and Cleveland will want to establish the run game with Hillis to take the pressure off of McCoy next season.

Draft Grade: B+

AFC North Draft Grades: Cincinnati Bengals

The Cincinnati Bengals entered the 2010 NFL Season with hopes and dreams of reaching the Super Bowl after winning the AFC North in 2009. A 2-1 start was followed by ten straight losses and even more fingers being pointed at who was to blame. This offseason has been just as problematic. Terrell Owens is not coming back. Chad Ochocinco Johnson may or may not be back. Carson Palmer has threatened to retire if he is not traded. Mike Brown isn't going to budge on that matter, so you may as well consider Palmer gone from Cincy. The Bengals entered the draft with questions at quarterback and receiver, and hit the mark at both positions.

Cincinnati could have drafted Blaine Gabbert with the 4th Overall pick, but they opted to go with the best offensive player in the draft with A.J. Green, the wide receiver out of Georgia. In Round 2, Cincinnati was able to get the quarterback they wanted all along in Andy Dalton. Unless Palmer somehow ends up back in a Bengals jersey, or unless they can pick up a veteran free agent quarterback, Dalton will be the Day 1 starter, and his job will be much easier with Green lining up on the outside.

The Bengals selected Dontay Moch, the outside linebacker/defensive end out of Nevada. Moch will have to adjust to playing linebacker, but he has all the physical tools to be a disruptive pass rusher. Cincinnati also got two more potential starters in fourth round pick Cling Boling and fifth round selection Robert Sands. Boling was seen by some as having late first round/early second round talent, and he should start at left guard. Sands will have the opportunity to move into the strong safety position, with Roy Williams and Chris Crocker both getting hit by age and injuries.

A late round sleeper looks to be Korey Lindsey, a cornerback taken in the seventh round out of Southern Illinois. Lindsey was seen as the best corner in FCS, and with Jonathon Joseph potentially heading to free agency he could get a chance right away.

Draft Grade: A

AFC North Draft Grades: Baltimore Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens have built a reputation as being one franchise that gets the NFL Draft right, consistently making the right picks to reload a strong team. This year was no different. The Ravens finished 12-4 last season, and look as strong as ever.

The defensive secondary was an area of concern, and as good as their front seven has been, if receivers are getting open early and often then it is very difficult to get pressure on the quarterback. The selection of Jimmy Smith, the cornerback out of Colorado, looks to solidify the secondary right away. The concern with Smith is not his talent. Many saw him as good as both Patrick Peterson and Prince Amukamara, but how is he going to handle life in the NFL off the field. The hope is that being in the locker room with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed will be a positive influence. But right now no one is in the locker room. So if Smith can stay out of trouble until the lockout ends then he will have the chance to fulfill his potential.

Wide receiver is another area where the Ravens were looking to get better, and Baltimore got a player with first round talent late in the second round with the selection of Torrey Smith from Maryland. Smith gives the receiver corps an immediate upgrade with his speed, and he should be able to stretch the field for quarterback Joe Flacco. The Ravens also got an upgrade on the offensive line in the third round by selecting Jah Reid out of Central Florida. Reid may be in need of experience and seasoning, but he has the athletic ability to contribute for a long time.

A late round sleeper looks to be Tandon Doss, a wide receiver selected in the fourth round. Doss is a tall, rangy possession receiver with great hands and should team with Torrey Smith on the outside for many years.

Draft Grade: B+

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

NFC East Draft Grades: Washington Redskins

The Washington Redskins are heading into the second year of the Mike Shanahan tenure looking to settle down the drama that seemed to take over the locker room in 2010. The addition of Donovan McNabb didn't work out too well, and bringing in Albert Haynesworth was even worse. The Redskins finished 6-10, and were looking to fill in holes on both sides of the ball.

Quarterback was an area of concern, and Washington had a chance to select Blaine Gabbert, but traded down with Jacksonville and wound up seelcting Ryan Kerrigan, the defensive end from Purdue. Kerrigan will look to line up opposite Brian Orakpo, and the defense will now have two high motor outside pass rushers.

The defensive secondary was the choice in Round 2 with the pick of Jarvis Jenkins out of Clemson. But a steal may have been Leonard Hankerson, the wide receiver out of Miami taken in Round 3. Hankerson had an excellent Senior Bowl, and was a highly rated receiver with good size and the hands to excel in the NFL. Washington did not select a quarterback, so as of now Hankerson looks to be catching passes from Rex Grossman.

A late round sleeper looks to be Roy Helu, a running back out of Nebraska selected in Round 4. Helu is a between the tackles runner, but he should fit in well with Shanahan's offense with his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield.

Draft Grade: B-

NFC East Draft Grades: Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC East at 10-6 during the 2010 NFL Season, and the sensational play of Michael Vick led the way. Two areas of concern for the Eagles was the offensive line and defensive secondary, and Philadelphia hit on picks at both slots.

Danny Watkins have may been the most popular player at Radio City Music Hall on Draft Day, as the former firefighter got a standing ovation from a group of New York firefighters. But Watkins can play. He can play tackle and guard, and he should be able to shore up the line right away.

The secondary was addressed in Rounds 2 and 3, with the selection of Jaiquawn Jarrett, a safety out of Temple in the second round, and Curtis Marsh, a cornerback out of Utah State in the third round. Both players have have been drafted higher than many experts had them pegged, but they both fit the Eagles system, and should play an important role in shoring up the defensive backfield.

Two late round sleeper picks for the Eagles look to be Casey Matthews, a middle linebacker out of Oregon, and Alex Henery, a kicker out of Nebraska, both selected in the fourth round of the draft. Matthews is the brother of Clay Matthews of the Packers, and he has the football IQ that Coach Andy Reid loves. Henery was the highest rated kicker in the draft, and he could be the eventual replacement for David Akers.

Draft Grade: B-

NFC East Draft Grades: New York Giants

The New York Giants missed out on the 2010 NFL Playoffs by the slimmest of margins. Looking back, if they had punted away from DeSean Jackson and defeated the Eagles, they would have had the sixth and final playoff spot in the NFC. The team that claimed that spot-Green Bay.

With the 19th pick, the Giants were looking to upgrade the running game or offensive line. But one of the top players in the draft fell to them, so it was a no-brainer to select Prince Amukamara in the first round. With the emphasis on the passing game, you can't have enough good cover corners. Amukamara was seen as a Top 10 talent, and the Giants got a gift in the first round.

Then New York got another in Round 2, when Marvin Austin was sitting there for the taking. Despite not playing at North Carolina in 2010 due to NCAA Violations, Austin was seen as a late first round pick, and I think more people were surprised that he was the 52nd pick than what would have been if he had been the 25th pick. Austin is a great fit for the Giants defensive scheme, and I can see him moving into the starting lineup by the end of the season.

The Giants got a speed receiver in Round 3 by selecting Jerrel Jernigan out of Troy. Small but very quick, Jernigan looks to be an excellent complimentary receiver to line up with Hakeem Nicks and Steve Smith.

Two late round sleepers for the Giants look to be James Brewer, a tackle selected in the fourth round out of Indiana, and Greg Jones, a middle linebacker taken in Round 6 out of Michigan State. Brewer is an athletic giant of a right tackle, standing 6'8 and weighing 330 pounds. Jones is a productive player in the middle of the defense, and his leadership qualities can not be overlooked.

Draft Grade: A

NFC East Draft Grades: Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys entered the 2010 NFL season with the highest of expectations, looking to be the first team to play in the Super Bowl in their home stadium, and finished with the bitterest of disappointments. A 1-7 start led to a coaching change, and with Jason Garrett at the helm, the Cowboys finished 5-3 down the stretch and 6-10 overall.

Two areas of concern for Dallas was the offensive and defensive lines. The selection of Tyron Smith, the tackle out of USC, makes the offensive line stronger from the start. Smith may start at right tackle, then eventually move to the left side. But the defensive line did not get addressed on draft weekend, and that may come back to haunt the Cowboys.

Bruce Carter is coming off of knee surgery late in 2010, and he may not be ready to play right away. Once he is healthy, Carter will be a valuable addition to the Cowboys defense.

A late round sleeper pick for Dallas looks to be David Arkin, an interior offensive lineman selected in the fourth round out of Missouri State. Arkin dominated in the small college ranks, and with some seasoning and adjustments to the NFL talent level, Arkin will provide depth to the offensive line.

Draft grade: B

Monday, May 2, 2011

AFC East Draft Grades: New York Jets

The New York Jets are coming off of their second straight season playing in the AFC Title Game, and many people feel the clock is ticking on whether or not they can get over the hump and make it to the Super Bowl. The biggest need was defensive line, and the Jets hit the mark on their first two picks.

Muhammad Wilkerson is an athletic end for their 3-4 defense, and Jets fans everywhere are hoping he isn't the second coming of Vernon Gholston. They also got the prototype 3-4 nose tackle in Kenrick Ellis from Hampton. But off the field issues scared away a few teams, but the Jets were willing to take a chance and select him in the third round.

A sleeper pick for the Jets was their highest pick on the offensive side of the ball, running back Bilal Powell from Louisville, selected in the fourth round. Powell is a between the tackles back, who looks to be a complimentary back to Shonn Greene and an eventual replacement for LaDanian Tomlinson for the Jets.

Draft Grade: B

AFC East Draft Grades: New England Patriots

The New England Patriots are coming off of yet another AFC East title following a 14-2 regular season. But disappointment hit the Patriots once again after getting knocked out of the playoffs by division rival New York Jets at home. Bu New England went into the draft with three of the first 33 picks, and they were looking to reload. Their first selection at #17 was Nate Solder, the athletic 6'8 tackle from Colorado, who will team up with fellow man mountain Sebastian Vollmer to protect the edges for Tom Brady for years to come. New England traded their second pick in Round 1, and continued their philosophy of accumulating picks in later rounds.

New England got a cornerback at the top of Round 2 in Ras-I Dowling to pair up with last year's number one pick Devin McCourtey. Then the Patriots went for running back with a second round and third round pick in Shane Vereen and Stevan Ridley, respectively. But their second pick in Round 3 was the attention getter. Ryan Mallett was sitting there, and New England snared the strong armed quarterback. He will be groomed to be Tom Brady's replacement, or he will be the next Matt Cassel and be shipped out to a team in need of a quarterback who is willing to pay a high price.

New England didn't address their needs of rushing the passer or wide receiver. But it is futile to argue about the picks Bill Belichick makes. He makes them work out in the long run.

A late round sleeper pick for the Patriots looks to be Marcus Cannon, the mammoth guard from TCU selected in the fifth round. Cannon was diagnosed with Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma, and will undergo chemotherapy treatments. He may sit out 2011 while he recuperates, but if he can come back either this year or next with a clean bill of health he could be a fixture at guard for a long time.

Draft Grade: B+

AFC East Draft Grades: Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins come off of a 7-9 season, and their division title in 2008 seems to be a long time ago. There were issues all over the field that needed to be addressed, and the Dolphins got 2 of them right off the bat. Mike Pouncey will help solidify the offensive line, which outside of Jake Long has not performed up to snuff. Poincey can play guard and center, and it looks like Miami will have him anchoring the middle. Another area of concern was running back. Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown are free agents, and Miami got a solid power back in Daniel Thomas. Thomas is a north-south runner who should thrive going through holes opened by Long and Pouncey.

With only six picks, the defense wasn't addressed until Round 7. But the quarterback position wasn't addressed at all. It looks like the Dolphins are either going to hand the keys of the offense back to Chad Henne, of go after a veteran in free agency.

A late round sleeper looks to be Edmond Gates, a wide receiver from Abilene Christian selected in the fourth round. Gates is a burner, but transitioning to the NFL may be difficult.

Draft Grade: B-

AFC East Draft Grades: Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills come off of a 4-12 season in 2010, and held the third overall selection of the 2011 NFL Draft. The offense was good last season, but the defense needed the most help. And the Bills hit the mark with their first two picks. Marcell Dareus is an athletic defensive tackle who can both stop the run and pressure the passer effectively. But their second round pick may turn out to be just as valuable. Aaron Williams is a solid corner who can also play safety. The Buffalo secondary got lit up way too much last season, and Williams looks to be a solid piece to the defensive puzzle. Third round pick Kelvin Sheppard is an athletic linebacker who can play inside and outside.

Buffalo helped the defense through the draft, but quarterback was a position that they should have addressed at some time. Ryan Mallett was available when the Bills picked Sheppard, but Arizona also passed on the Arkansas quarterback in the third round. Both teams need help at the position and passed. That may say what you need to know about Mallett. Buffalo has said that Ryan Fitzpatrick is their guy at quarterback, and they will go into 2011 with the Harvard grad calling the shots under center.

A late round sleeper for the Bills looks to be Chris Hairston, an offensive lineman selected in the fourth round. Buffalo's offensive line has had issues since Jason Peter went to Philadelphia, and it may not be long before Hairston her a chance. He has the size, strength and athletic ability to make an impact on an offensive line that has been thin at times.

Draft Grade: B