Sunday, April 6, 2014

TMG DraftZone2014 DSA Player Rankings 3.0

We are a little over one month away from the 2014 NFL Draft, but with the draft now in May it still feels like it is just a couple of weeks away. In compiling the latest edition of the DSA Player Rankings, the top of the draft is settling into place very nicely, with the exception of one player. With the majority of Pro Days completed, the overanalysation of players is in full swing. And no position get the treatment than quarterback. It is starting to remind me of a presidential primary season. When a candidate makes the announcement that they are running, there is excitement aplenty. The early poll numbers go up, and everything looks great. Then all the pundits start to dissect the candidate and all the flaws become exposed. Now take a look at what has happened to Teddy Bridgewater this draft season. To a degree, it started against Central Florida last season for Teddy. He was an early Heisman candidate, then Louisville lost to UCF. His numbers were never as spectacular as Blake Bortles or Johnny Manziel, but he kept winning. A 12-1 season was capped off with a great performance against Miami in the Russell Athletic Bowl, and the full spectrum of his play in college put Bridgewater at the top of the draft charts for quarterbacks going into the 2014 NFL Draft. Then the questions started. He didn't have a big enough body frame. At the combine, his hands weren't big enough and he didn't throw on the field. He had a lousy pro day. Now the doubters are piling on. Bridgewater has taken one of the biggest drops I've ever recorded this late in the draft process with the DSA Player Rankings for a player at or near the top. Other top name prospects have had bigger drops, but those started early, most notably Da'Quan Bowers. Bridgewater dropped eight positions, from #3 to #11, as one mock draft had him at #26 to Cleveland and another had him at #32 in a possible trade scenario. I have written of my support for Bridgewater, and I still believe that he will be the best quarterback of this class. But what I'm seeing is almost a Panic In The Draft Room In Reverse. It's gone from We Need A Quarterback, We Need A Quarterback, to Maybe We Don't Need This Quarterback. If Bridgewater falls past Minnesota at #8 in the upcoming draft, I wonder who will make the move up to get him and I will discuss these possibilities in my next posting. For now, there are two big movers. Mike Evans has moved into the Top 10, moving up five spots to #8, and Tim Jernigan is getting a lot of attention in the middle of the draft as well. Jernigan jumped up nine slots from #26 to #17 as teams are possibly looking to snare the next Geno Atkins for the middle of their defense. Besides Bridgewater, the biggest drops were taken by Jason Verrett, falling eight spots to #31, and Marqise Lee, who dropped seven positions from #17 to #24. Verrett is seen as undersized, and the drop by Lee can be seen as a result of the rise of both Odell Beckham and Brandin Cooks. The player at the top has been there all along this year, and that is Jadaveon Clowney. The St. Louis Rams, in a way, have to be hoping that the Houston Texans take a quarterback at #1 Overall. If Clowney is still there when the Rams pick, they could very easily make a trade along the lines for what they got in 2012 for Robert Griffin III from Washington, and they would still be able to get the offensive lineman they covet to give Sam Bradford some protection. Clowney is far and away the top talent in a very good draft class, and someone is going to break the bank to get him. So here is the 2014 TMG DraftZone DSA Player Rankings 3.0, with the average score and movement up or down from the previous rankings: 1) Jadaveon Clowney 2.10 0 2) Greg Robinson 3.00 2 3) Blake Bortles 4.40 (1) 4) Sammy Watkins 4.80 1 5) Khalil Mack 5.20 1 6) Jake Matthews 6.70 1 7) Johnny Manziel 7.30 1 8) Mike Evans 9.90 5 9) Anthony Barr 11.00 0 10) Justin Gilbert 11.30 0 11) Teddy Bridgewater 11.40 (8) 12) Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix 13.30 (1) 13) Taylor Lewan 14.90 (1) 14) Aaron Donald 15.20 0 15) Darqueze Dennard 16.40 0 16) Eric Ebron 16.70 0 17) Tim Jernigan 19.50 9 18) Zack Martin 19.90 0 19) Odell Beckham 21.70 3 20) Calvin Pryor 21.80 (1) 21) Kony Ealy 22.40 3 22) Louis Nix 22.50 (2) 23) C.J. Mosley 23.10 (2) 24) Marqise Lee 23.70 (7) 25) Brandin Cooks 24.80 3 26) Derek Carr 24.80 0 27) Kyle Fuller 25.50 2 28) Bradley Roby 25.60 4 29) Dee Ford 27.40 5 30) Ryan Shazier 29.00 1 31) Jason Varrett 29.10 (8) 32) Kelvin Benjamin 31.30 3 33) Ra'Shade Hageman 33.00 (6) 34) Xavier Su'a-Filo 33.90 0 35) Cyrus Kouandijo 34.00 (5) 36) David Yankey 35.00 0 37) Jimmie Ward 36.20 0 It will be interesting to see if Tim Jernigan can continue to climb up the draft charts as he has, and if you are looking for a player outside of the Top 32, keep an eye on Jeremiah Attaochu, the talented but raw linebacker from Georgia Tech. He looks to be a solid 2nd Rounder, but a team like New England or Seattle, who can afford to develop a talent like his, might grab him in Round 1. It is 1 month until the 2014 NFL Draft. I should be able to post at least two more DSA Player Rankings, and it will be interesting to see who the late risers are for 2014.

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