Monday, March 22, 2010

Draft Slot Average (DSA) Player Rankings

With all of the Mock Drafts out there (including my own), it is time to reveal the very first TMG DraftZone Draft Slot Average, otherwise know as the DSA's. The first compilation had 19 players listed on all the mock drafts. That list is now down to just 16. So if you take what the draft experts are saying there are just 16 sure-fire 1st Round picks. That and a buck gets you a chicken sandwich at McDonald's.

But looking at the DSA's I can see the draft falling in line with very little variation. The top of the draft depends on whether or not the Rams take Sam Bradford, and the order of offensive tackles depends on the Raiders taking Bruce Campbell, Anthony Davis or Trent Williams with the 8th overall selection. The DSA's will get updated as more mock draft information rolls into the TMG DraftZone. So here is the player rankings and average draft slot as foretold by the DSA's:

1) Ndamukong Suh 1.71
2) Gerald McCoy 2.71
3) Sam Bradford 3.24
4) Russell Okung 4.12
5) Eric Berry 5.12
6) Jimmy Clausen 7.18
7) Joe Haden 9.42
8) Dez Bryant 11.53
9) Derrick Morgan 11.59
10) Bryan Bulaga 11.71
11) Rolando McClain 11.82
12) Trent Williams 13.18
13) Anthony Davis 14.71
14) C.J. Spiller 14.94
15) Bruce Campbell 17.12
16) Earl Thomas 17.82
17) Jason Pierre-Paul 18.00
18) Dan Williams 18.18
19) Sergio Kindle 20.88
20) Taylor Mays 22.24
21) Mike Iupati 22.76
22) Brandon Graham 23.94
23) Carlos Dunlap 24.88
24) Brian Price 25.88
25) Kyle Wilson 26.18
26) Everson Griffen 26.41
27) Jermaine Gresham 26.47
28) Jerry Hughes 27.35
29) Maurkice Pouncey 27.94
30) Golden Tate 28.41
31) Sean Weatherspoon 29.71
32) Ryan Mathews 30.35
33) Jared Odrick 30.88
34) Arrelious Benn 31.00
35) Charles Brown 31.82
36) Patrick Robinson 32.59
37) Devin McCourtey 33.24

The DSA's are computed using the average position of players in various mock drafts. If a player is not listed in the first round they are assigned a draft selection of 35, the 3rd pick of the 2nd Round. The way I see it, if a player is deemed good enough to be a first round selection, then if they are not listed in the first round they would probably go in the top of the 2nd Round. If that selection is a top 5 of the 2nd Round, the average of the top 5 picks is the 35th selection. As deep as the 2010 Draft is, it would not be surprising that any player seen as a first rounder could easily fall to Round 2. In 2009, Rey Maualuga was looked at as a mid first rounder, with many mock drafts having him going as high as #12. He fell all the way to #38, and played like a first round selection. It will be interesting to see who will be the player to fall out of Round 1 who goes out and proves everyone wrong.

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